Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Right comment, wrong candidate

When Ben Chandler filed for the special election to fill the seat in Congress vacated by Ernie Fletcher, Mitch McConnell made the comment that the day Chandler filed would be his best day and that it would all be downhill from there.

Unfortunately for Kentucky, it didn't work out that way. Chandler won both the special and the regular elections.

But it appears that perhaps McConnell was speaking of Anne Northup instead of Ben Chandler. Ever since Northup declared her candidacy for governor, things have gone south.

She's having trouble raising funds. Her campaign speeches are going over like Keith Moon talking to Bonham, Page, Plant and Jones. And now she's losing ground to Ernie Fletcher in the polls.

Northup must've thought Republicans would buy her "Fletcher can't win" manure. Six weeks is an eternity in politics, but from here it looks like Annie and her backers made a serious miscalculation -- almost McConnellian in nature. If Northup continues to lose friends and influence people to dislike her, we suspect that Fletcher will top the 50 percent mark in a three-way primary and he'll come out of the primary in very good shape against a highly flawed Democrat opponent.

4 Comments:

At 3:53 PM, April 03, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Are you kidding me? No objective observer would say that. Pure Fletcher spin on your part that cannot be taken seriously.

 
At 4:24 PM, April 03, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wow, Fletcher supporters are falling all over themselves and declaring victory in this race because he leads in one poll. His numbers are still horrible for a sitting governor.

 
At 5:10 PM, April 03, 2007, Anonymous nicholasville conservative said...

Pachyderm: Good observations. I wish Fletcher weren't as weak as he is, but he still has probably a 50-50 shot of winning in November because the Dems don't have a good candidate in the field. Chandler is probably one of the few electable Democrats and he's not running. As long as Fletcher doesn't run that silly ad from last month in the general campaign, and is willing to paint Stumbo for the sleaze-meister he is, and if he will combat stupid ideas like "universal health coverage" with the cold hard facts, he can win. As for the GOP intra-party fratricide, I personally believe both Fletcher and McConnell need to learn a few things about GOP cooperation and respecting one another's spheres of influence. But forget about Mitch; let him stay up in DC which is closer to his heart anyway. Hopefully Ernie can smoke a peace pipe with David Williams and listen to our conservative legislators' legitimate grievances. That would help start momentum for a successful second term.

 
At 8:49 AM, April 05, 2007, Blogger K-Pac II said...

4:24, you obviously have the reading comprehension of the typical bluegrassreport.org poster. Hopefully you will go back and re-read the part where we note that six weeks is an eternity in Kentucky politics.

Obviously this doesn't equal victory for Fletcher, but it is a very good sign that his re-election effort isn't in as much trouble as some of you would hope. This poll has to be very disturbing for Northup and her supporters. Six weeks out from the primary and instead of closing what was originally reported as a narrow gap, she's seeing Fletcher pull away.

 

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