Thursday, August 02, 2007

Fletcher's crossover support will be stronger than expected; prominent Dem takes high-level position in administration

In a state where 65 percent of the registered voters are Democrats, it's a political fact that any Republican candidate for a statewide office has to have significant crossover support to win.

That's what makes Ernie Fletcher's 11-point victory over Happy Chandler's grandson in 2003 all the more amazing. Fletcher's victory was the equivalent of a Morehead or Murray State not only beating UK in basketball, but blowing them out by double digits, in Rupp Arena no less.

Conventional wisdom has it that this year, Fletcher's support among Democrats will be seriously eroded because his administration has been accused of favoring Republicans and discriminating against Democrats in state hiring practices. This is the only real issue the Democrats have to use against Fletcher, and since it breaks along party lines, the pundits think Fletcher won't get the Democrat support he got four years ago.

Don't count your roosters before they hatch.

What the pundits conveniently forget is that 60 percent of the Fletcher administration's non-merit appointees are Democrats. They obviously wouldn't have been appointed if they didn't support him, and they logically wouldn't still have their jobs if they were not planning on supporting him this November.

Most of these appointees are politically active and influential. They will hold sway over friends, family members, trusted employees and people they know in the community. One of the criticisms of Fletcher has been that he appointed too many Democrats to non-merit jobs, but in reality it was a politically shrewd move since only 35 percent or so of the state's voters are registered with the GOP and they will be inclined to support their party's nominee anyway.

One recent appointee signals just how strong Fletcher's crossover support may be this fall.

Longtime Democrat activist Bill Patrick was named yesterday as the director of the Office of Drug Control Policy. Bill Patrick is no ordinary Democrat. He's been a party official, held many positions in Democrat administrations and served as county judge-executive in Powell County. It's a safe bet that Patrick brought a pledge of support for Fletcher to this appointed position, and no doubt he will use his influence with his significant political network to drum up support for the incumbent.

Patrick's promotion to a high-visibility position (previously held by another Democrat supporter of Fletcher, former Franklin County Judge-Executive Teresa Barton) is a clear indication that the heralded Democrat unity behind Steve Beshear's candidacy is a myth. When a high-profile Democrat like Bill Patrick aligns himself so closely with the Republican governor, that should be cause for alarm for the Beshear camp.

The reports of Ernie Fletcher's political death may have been very premature. Stay tuned. It's only August.

11 Comments:

At 3:54 PM, August 02, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You really don't have your figures right and you really don't get it. Fletcher didn't favor Republicans...he favored democrats. He obviously is continuing to favor democrats. This is the last straw for me....If dumbass and company are so PRO Democrat...then by God I will be following his lead and VOTING DEMOCRAT. He is a major dumbass and so is virtually everyone that works for him. I will be delighted to see all of those Democrats and Republicans in this inept administration have to find jobs in the real world.
Obviously they know not that they know not....as I said...dumbasses.

Aggravated Staunch Republican.

 
At 3:59 PM, August 02, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

He actually has appointed 62% Democrats to his political positions. Can you imagine if a Republican President appointed 62% of his political positions to Democrats? All hell would break loose within the ranks of the Republican Party.

This man is an inept DEMOCRAT disguised as a Republican.

If he is so BIG on Democrats, hell, I'm going to vote Democrat in the Fall.

 
At 6:13 PM, August 02, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

WE Will see how shrewd it was... come November.

 
At 6:16 PM, August 02, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

REAL REPUBLICANS SUPPORT THEIR NOMINEE ANYWAY...hmmm...you must be a novice at Kentucky Politics. You will soon see how many Republicans support a RINO Governor (Rino=Republican in Name ONly).

 
At 6:18 PM, August 02, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I am so ready to see ALL of these Democrats out of office...FLETCHER AND COMPANY INCLUDED. Atleast Beshear and company have the fortitude to admit that they are Democrats. I will BY GOD be voting Democrat this fall and I am a HARD CORE REPUBLICAN.

Thank you so much for posting this story and opening my eyes. I will be very happy to see a complete reorganization of the Republican Party after November.

 
At 8:16 PM, August 02, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well, obviously Bill is some species of idiot.

 
At 8:20 PM, August 02, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

No, the reports of his political death are not premature. The final nails in the political coffin are simply being nailed into place. We will be finished with ernie and kiddie korps kids in a few months...thank God almighty. Then we can elect a REAL REPUBLICAN in the next term. We should have elected Anne Northup or someone else. Ern's political career and political future are dead in the water.

 
At 8:42 PM, August 02, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It is a FACT that no statewide officeholder in Kentucky can win without significant Democrat support. If you can look at a 65-35 voter registration figure and determine otherwise, then you must've been good at that "new math" they tried to teach in the 70s.

 
At 1:24 AM, August 03, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Gee....If I didn't know any better it sounds like the same guy who conveniently goes by the handle of "Anonymous" posted all these comments. If anonymous wants to see a RINO Govenor in action come out to my state of California and you'll have a front row seat. Hopefully the good people of Kenucky will see that they have one of the best, most responsible gentleman running their gov't and will think twice before they elect "Mr. Vegas".

 
At 5:21 PM, August 03, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Oh...Ok, now it makes sense. You are not from Kentucky and have not a single clue about Kentucky politics....ok...blog on.

 
At 6:23 PM, August 06, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It all makes sense now dumb me. I think it was a bad idea to think that those same democrates would not turn on him if their base found out they were traitors. As a Republican I am just shaking my head.

 

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